← Alle Ereignisse

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

$879K Vol. · $241K in 24 h · 6 Std. bis zum Ergebnis

Ergebnis erwartet: 1. Dezember 2026 um 04:59

November 30

1 Wo. +3 Pkt.

97%

October 31

1 Wo. +13 Pkt.

93%

October 15

73%

October 5

50%

October 2

50%

October 10

49%

Angezeigt werden die 6 wahrscheinlichsten von 7 Ausgängen.

Wie das Ereignis aufgelöst wird

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.