Brazil Presidential Election

$155.8M vol · $311K in 24h · 6 d to result

Result expected October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM

Flávio Bolsonaro

57%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

43%

Renan Santos

<1%

Geraldo Alckmin

<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas

<1%

Jair Bolsonaro

<1%

Showing the 6 most likely of 19 outcomes.

How the event resolves

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).