Next French Presidential Election
$138.5M vol · $349K in 24h · 214 d to result
Result expected April 18, 2027 at 11:59 PM
Marine Le Pen
1w +1 pts
Édouard Philippe
1w −4 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
David Lisnard
1w +3 pts
François Hollande
1w −1 pts
Gabriel Attal
Showing the 6 most likely of 42 outcomes.
How the event resolves
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).