Plague pandemic in 2026?
$150K vol. · $138K en 24 h · 86 d para el resultado
Resultado previsto: 1 de enero de 2027 a las 04:59
Probabilidad de «Yes»
4%
el precio no se mueve
Cómo se resuelve el evento
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.