Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
$3.6M vol. · $82K en 24 h · 78 d para el resultado
Resultado previsto: 1 de enero de 2027 a las 04:59
Probabilidad de «Yes»
8%
1 sem. +3 pts
Cómo se resuelve el evento
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.