Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

거래량 $1.0M · 24시간 $136K · 결과까지 2일

결과 예정: 2026년 10월 5일 오전 03:59

Flavio Bolsonaro

1주 +1 %p

>99%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

1주 +2 %p

99%

Ronaldo Caiado

<1%

Romeu Zema

<1%

Renan Santos

1주 −1 %p

<1%

Fernando Haddad

<1%

9개 결과 중 가장 가능성 높은 6개를 표시합니다.

이벤트 결과 확정 방식

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).