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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$25.3M vol · $179K in 24h · 8 d to result

Result expected April 1, 2027 at 03:59 AM

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

1w −2 pts

12%

Save the Children

1w +4 pts

10%

International Court of Justice

1w +1 pts

6%

UNRWA

1w −1 pts

5%

Yulia Navalnaya

1w −2 pts

4%

Committee to Protect Journalists

4%

Showing the 6 most likely of 32 outcomes.

How the event resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.