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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$69.9M vol. · $154K em 24 h · 94 d até o resultado

Resultado previsto: 1 de janeiro de 2027 às 04:59

Chance de “Yes”

14%

1 sem. −1 p.p.

Como o evento será resolvido

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.