Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

交易量 $1.0M · 24 小时 $136K · 距结果 2 天

预计 2026年10月5日 03:59 出结果

Flavio Bolsonaro

1 周 +1 个百分点

>99%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

1 周 +2 个百分点

99%

Ronaldo Caiado

<1%

Romeu Zema

<1%

Renan Santos

1 周 −1 个百分点

<1%

Fernando Haddad

<1%

显示 9 个结果中最可能的 6 个。

事件如何结算

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).